1
Amber Ocean
2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 8 · OR 73
Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery · 5f 21y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Leicester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 9-10 · tight 77/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -31.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |