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3

Bellatina

2yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 2 · OR 71

Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery · 5f 21y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had finished runner-up on 3 of her 6 starts prior to getting off the mark with an improved display at Lingfield (5f, all-weather) in August but followed that up with a poor effort at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm, 25/1) 23 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 12515/0454 @ Southwell 29/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS16/0544 @ Hamilton 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 64 · 5f7y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Catterick 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 65 · 5f GF 135 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 65 par8/076OR 655 @ Bath 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 67 · 5f10y Fm 128 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 67 par3 @ Lingfield 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 66 · 5f6y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 66 par11/083OR 665 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 74 · 5f1y Goo 134 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 74 par12/095OR 74projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh58th8th0
2026-08-11Lingfield31st-1th+2
2026-07-15Bath56th6th0
2026-07-08Catterick62nd3rd−1
2026-06-25Hamilton42nd1st+1
2026-05-16Thirsk47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0425/0611/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 28/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength27%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20262nd18/15%90%+0.85
29/04/20268th15/890%0%-0.90
16/05/20267th12/137%33%-0.04
25/06/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
08/07/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14
15/07/20266th4/179%17%-0.62
11/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
12/09/20268th25/10%13%+0.13