5

Duty's Call

2yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 70

Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery · 5f 21y

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went off favourite but failed to beat a rival in a 8-runner maiden at Sandown on debut but quickly proved herself much better than that when second of 6 in novice at Chester in August. Bit below that level when fourth of 9 in novice at Beverley (5f, good, 16/1) 19 days ago. Makes nursery debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/0744 @ Chester 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f15y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0844 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS16/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley44th3rd+1
2026-08-22Chester42nd1st+1
2026-07-24Sandown48th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0722/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +64.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20268th7/282%0%-0.82
22/08/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
16/09/20264th16/116%63%+0.47