5

Duty's Call
2yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 70
Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery · 5f 21y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength59%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Beverley | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Sandown | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +64.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |