Penny Capri
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 66
Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery · 5f 21y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chester | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |