Sue's Last Chance

2yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 9 · OR 69

Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery · 5f 21y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ RUNS TO MARK

Move▼2

Strength86%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 10.6)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C2.6

Today: 5

Class gap: +2.4

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-11	Doncaster	4	15th	14th	+1	1.0
2026-08-19	York	2	18th	14th	+3	1.0
2026-06-27	York	2	8th	4th	+3	5.6
2026-06-13	York	3	5th	3rd	+2	7.4
2026-05-14	York	2	7th	3rd	+3	6.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 85/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -14.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
14/05/2026	7th	22/1	0%	57%	+0.57
13/06/2026	5th	22/1	0%	33%	+0.33
27/06/2026	8th	12/1	37%	30%	-0.07
19/08/2026	18th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
11/09/2026	15th	80/1	0%	0%	0.00