Sultan Darius
2yo Colt · 9-6 · Draw 1 · OR 70
Wolverhampton · Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery · 5f 21y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |