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Starship Lily

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 1

Wolverhampton · Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 20y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

87%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Starman filly was very well backed (10/11 from 3/1) but shaped as if needing the experience when fourth of 5 in maiden at Yarmouth (7f, firm) on debut 82 days ago. Open to progress, with drop back to 6f not looking a bad thing, either.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 7f3y GF 12415/075
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Yarmouth54th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20264th10/1195%25%-0.70