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9

A Lott Of Kane

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 12 · OR 56

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 20y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who bounced back to winning ways (following a breathing operation) here (5f) in July. Followed up in 6f Lingfield classified event and still looked in good heart when beaten 2½ lengths on hat-trick bid there last time. Stall 10 isn't ideal given his free-going style, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 14/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 46 · 5f6y Std 126 · beat its mark14/01/2026 · OR 46 par14/016OR 466 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 46 · 6f20y Std 121 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Chelmsford City 26/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 46 · 6f Std 121 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 46 par26/036OR 466 @ Wolverhampton 31/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 45 · 6f20y Std 126 · beat its mark31/03/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 50 · 5f21y Std 128 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 50 par1/066OR 506 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 50 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 49 · 5f21y Std 130 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 49 par30/076OR 496 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 56 · 6f1y Std 137 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 56 · 5f6y Std 131 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 56 par10/096OR 56projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-08Lingfield61st1st0
2026-07-30Wolverhampton61st1st0
2026-06-08Leicester65th5th0
2026-06-01Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-03-31Wolverhampton61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0131/0330/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength53%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/01/20263rd3/184%67%-0.18
17/03/20269th17/255%11%-0.44
26/03/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
31/03/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
01/06/20264th16/583%70%-0.13
08/06/20265th15/890%50%-0.40
30/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
08/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
10/09/20264th11/486%57%-0.28