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11

Dr Ali

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 48

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 20y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled his tally for the year in a C&D classified event in March. Back to form returned to that company when ½-length second to A Lott of Kane at Lingfield. Needs a bit more back in a handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 19/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 48 · 6f Sta 128 · beat its mark19/01/2026 · OR 48 par19/016OR 486 @ Southwell 24/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f16y Std 129 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Wolverhampton 10/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 49 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark10/03/2026 · OR 49 par10/036OR 496 @ Wolverhampton 24/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 50 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark24/03/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Southwell 28/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 50 · 6f16y Std 125 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 50 par28/046OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 49 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 48 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 48 par18/066OR 486 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 47 · 6f20y Std 127 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 46 · 6f1y Std 135 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 46 par8/086OR 46projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-06-18Lingfield65th5th0
2026-06-02Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-04-28Southwell66th6th0
2026-03-24Wolverhampton61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0124/0318/068/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/01/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
24/02/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
10/03/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
24/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
28/04/20266th15/261%44%-0.16
02/06/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
18/06/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
07/07/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
08/08/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52