8
Ezra Cee
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 6 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 20y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength69%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Leicester | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 9-11 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2024 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/09/2024 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 03/10/2024 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 27/10/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 04/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 08/09/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/09/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |