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12

Piddie's Pearl

4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 20y

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort. Showed a bit more than previously when 2½ lengths sixth of 11 over C&D on return. Helped by being held up in a well-run race on that occasion and may face a similar scenario here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 08/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f16y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS8/0455 @ Wolverhampton 26/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f20y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/0455 @ Wolverhampton 19/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f20y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/0556 @ Southwell 02/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 55 · 7f15y Std 132 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 55 par2/096OR 556 @ Wolverhampton 22/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 50 · 7f36y Std 127 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 50 par22/096OR 506 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 46 · 7f6y GS 126 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 46 par16/056OR 466 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 45 · 6f21y Std 121 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 45 par1/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-05-16Doncaster610th10th0
2025-09-22Wolverhampton68th8th0
2025-09-02Southwell610th10th0
2025-05-19Wolverhampton58th7th+1
2025-04-26Wolverhampton58th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/042/091/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%

Delivery trend +5.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20259th80/10%0%0.00
26/04/20258th200/10%30%+0.30
19/05/20258th250/10%30%+0.30
02/09/202510th33/10%25%+0.25
22/09/20258th20/10%22%+0.22
16/05/202610th28/10%40%+0.40
01/09/20266th18/15%50%+0.45