Preferred
3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 8 · OR 60
Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 20y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Southwell | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-01-23 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-01-08 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 17/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |