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3

Torbados

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 1 · OR 58

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 6f 20y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tactically-versatile maiden. Back sprinting for the first time this season when 1-length second at Southwell (6f), doing his best work in the final 1f. On a handy mark and strong pace could play into his hands if again ridden with restraint.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength66%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 64 · 7f1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 64 par14/105OR 645 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 66 · 6f Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/12/2025 · OR 66 par6 @ Doncaster 25/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 65 · 7f6y Goo 135 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 65 par25/046OR 655 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 64 · 7f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Kempton 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 61 · 1m Sta 131 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 61 par8/076OR 616 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 60 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 58 · 1m31y GF 133 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 58 par10/086OR 586 @ Windsor 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 58 · 1m31y Goo 130 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Southwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 57 · 6f16y Std 132 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 57 par22/096OR 57projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Southwell62nd2nd0
2026-08-24Windsor64th4th0
2026-08-10Windsor62nd2nd0
2026-07-21Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-07-08Kempton64th4th0
2026-05-26Lingfield55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1026/0510/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/10/20253rd8/158%85%+0.27
01/12/20256th5/174%17%-0.57
25/04/202612th5/174%0%-0.74
26/05/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
08/07/20264th9/153%75%+0.22
21/07/20266th5/287%44%-0.42
10/08/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47
24/08/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
22/09/20262nd3/184%91%+0.07