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2

Cosmos Raj

8yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 6 · OR 73

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 104y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to form when capitalising on a much-reduced mark over 1¼m at Redcar in August and produced easily his best effort of the season when going in again from the front at that same track (1m) last month. Not in same form 24 hours later at Beverley but quick turnaround/poor draw provide excuses.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Carlisle 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 74 · 1m1f Sft 134 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 74 par8/065OR 744 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m6y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 69 · 7f218y Goo 129 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 69 par16/075OR 696 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m2f43y GF 135 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m6y Goo 125 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 65 par5/085OR 655 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 63 · 1m2f1y Goo 135 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 66 · 1m1f170y Sft 133 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 66 par1/095OR 665 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 66 · 7f219y Goo 136 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m1f207y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 66 par16/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley58th8th0
2026-09-15Redcar51st1st0
2026-09-01Ripon54th4th0
2026-08-22Redcar51st1st0
2026-08-05Pontefract54th4th0
2026-08-01Doncaster64th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/061/081/0916/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20267th28/10%40%+0.40
29/06/20266th66/10%17%+0.17
16/07/20266th40/10%0%0.00
01/08/20264th7/163%40%-0.23
05/08/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
22/08/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
01/09/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
15/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
16/09/20268th3/184%22%-0.62