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9

Faeberon

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 1 · OR 72

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 104y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

87%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved since sent handicapping, getting off the mark in first-time cheekpieces over C&D in June. Backed up that effort when 2½ lengths third of 13 at Ayr (1¼m, good to firm) the following month and not disgraced despite failing to land the odds at Southwell (11f) 35 days ago. Now in visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 04/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/0935 @ Newcastle 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m5y Std 1332/1053 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f43y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS28/0335 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 70 · 1m4f8y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 70 par16/055OR 705 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 71 · 1m1f104y Std 133 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 71 par28/065OR 715 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 73 · 1m2f Goo 132 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 73 par8/085OR 735 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m3f23y Std 132 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 73 par31/085OR 73projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell54th4th0
2026-08-08Ayr53rd3rd0
2026-06-28Wolverhampton51st1st0
2026-05-16Thirsk53rd3rd0
2026-03-28Doncaster38th6th+2
2025-10-02Newcastle54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0916/0531/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20257th11/893%25%-0.68
02/10/20254th15/890%50%-0.40
28/03/20268th22/10%13%+0.13
16/05/20263rd2/189%80%-0.09
28/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
08/08/20263rd22/10%83%+0.83
31/08/20264th10/1195%50%-0.45