Glen Nevis
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 4 · OR 74
Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 104y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Leicester | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Brighton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 21/09/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |