7

Little Miss India
5yo Mare · 9-7 · Draw 10 · OR 69
Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 104y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 16/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 30% | -0.25 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |