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3

Moonjid

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 3 · OR 71

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 1f 104y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to best to double his tally over 1¼m here in June, albeit having the run of the race. Has lacked for consistency since, failing to beat a rival in a 8-runner handicap at that same C&D 36 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength79%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 74 · 1m13y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 74 par7/042OR 745 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m75y Goo 133 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 73 · 1m6y Goo 133 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 73 par22/055OR 734 @ Beverley 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 72 · 1m1f207y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Yarmouth 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 71 · 1m2f23y GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 71 par18/064OR 713 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m2f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 74 par3 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 74 · 1m2f5y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 74 par26/073OR 745 @ Doncaster 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m2f43y GF 131 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Yarmouth 30/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m2f23y GS 134 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 73 par30/085OR 73projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Yarmouth58th8th0
2026-08-15Doncaster54th4th0
2026-07-26Pontefract35th3rd+2
2026-06-29Windsor37th5th+2
2026-06-18Yarmouth41st0th+1
2026-05-30Beverley43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0430/0526/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength26%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/04/20268th6/168%42%-0.27
18/04/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
22/05/20265th11/142%56%+0.13
30/05/20263rd11/142%50%+0.08
18/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
29/06/20267th22/10%14%+0.14
26/07/20265th9/276%0%-0.76
15/08/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
30/08/20268th20/10%0%0.00