2

Hamadhan

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 6 · OR 73

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 104y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

No progress in 4 starts for this yard, including when tailed off following a gelding operation 31 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 03/11/2024 · Pos 9th of 27 · OR - · 1m Yie 1333/11C8C8 @ Leopardstown 07/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 134C8 @ Curragh 23/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 13423/08C8C8 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 73 · 1m2f150y Std 134 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 73 par3 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m2f70y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 83 par7/053OR 834 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m2f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 80 par3 @ Beverley 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 80 · 1m4f23y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 80 par30/053OR 805 @ Haydock 04/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 75 · 1m3f140y Hvy 142 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 75 par4/095OR 75projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Haydock510th10th0
2026-05-30Beverley33rd1st+2
2026-05-25Leicester45th4th+1
2026-05-07Chester37th5th+2
2025-09-19Dundalk?3rd7th−3
2025-08-23Curragh?6th10th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1119/0930/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20249th16/116%69%+0.53
07/08/20256th11/271%58%-0.13
23/08/20256th8/158%44%-0.13
19/09/20253rd5/174%85%+0.11
07/05/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
25/05/20265th7/163%20%-0.43
30/05/20263rd11/142%0%-0.42
04/09/202610th28/10%18%+0.18