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4

Hauteluce

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 4 · OR 74

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 104y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at C&D (9.5f) on return and did well to double her tally on handicap debut at Southwell (1m) in August, overcoming a pace bias. Respectable effort when sixth of 12 in handicap at Goodwood (1¼m, good) 38 days ago and is considered with return to all-weather a plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 02/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m1y Std 1282/1254 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m1f104y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/0644 @ Nottingham 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 70 · 1m2f50y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 70 par17/074OR 705 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 70 · 1m14y Std 135 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 70 par6/085OR 705 @ Goodwood 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 75 · 1m1f197y Goo 135 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 75 par28/085OR 75projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Goodwood56th6th0
2026-08-06Southwell51st1st0
2026-07-17Nottingham43rd2nd+1
2026-06-28Wolverhampton41st0th+1
2025-12-02Lingfield55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1228/0617/076/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 38/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -16.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/20255th25/10%60%+0.60
28/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
17/07/20263rd10/1195%50%-0.45
06/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
28/08/20266th5/174%55%-0.19