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Kaaranah

8yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 3 · OR 74

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 104y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Enjoying a fine time of things this season, winning at C&D for the fourth time this year in July and backed that up with another good third of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (1¼m, all-weather) 53 days ago. Can make presence felt again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 31/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m1y Std 130 · below its mark31/01/2026 · OR 60 par31/016OR 605 @ Wolverhampton 17/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 58 · 1m142y Std 123 · beat its mark17/02/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Wolverhampton 06/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 57 · 1m1f104y Std 132 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 57 par6/046OR 576 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 61 · 1m1f104y Std 133 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 68 · 1m Sta 128 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 68 par20/055OR 685 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 68 · 1m2f Sft 128 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 67 · 1m1f104y Std 134 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 67 par16/065OR 675 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 70 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 1m2f1y Std 142 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 74 par13/085OR 74projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-07-21Wolverhampton51st1st0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton51st1st0
2026-06-06Lingfield55th5th0
2026-05-20Kempton56th6th0
2026-04-21Wolverhampton61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0121/0416/0613/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/202611th5/174%9%-0.65
17/02/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
06/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
21/04/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
20/05/20266th11/142%55%+0.12
06/06/20265th11/142%20%-0.22
16/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
21/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
13/08/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08