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9

Showcasing Star

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 2 · OR 71

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 104y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Belatedly matched the pick of his maiden form when 2¼ lengths third of 6 in a maiden handicap here (8.5f) last month. Added to his patchy profile when down the field at Musselburgh last time but does at least look more solid on all-weather. Cheekpieces on first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Wolverhampton 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR - · 1m142y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS7/0334 @ Newcastle 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m5y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m5y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS13/0444 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 77 · 7f127y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 77 · 1m Sta 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2026 · OR 77 par29/064OR 774 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 75 · 1m68y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 1m142y Std 134 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 73 par1/095OR 735 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m208y Goo 133 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 72 par12/095OR 72projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh59th9th0
2026-09-01Wolverhampton53rd3rd0
2026-07-11Hamilton45th4th+1
2026-06-29Kempton412th11th+1
2026-06-12Chester47th6th+1
2026-04-13Newcastle42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0312/061/0912/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20262nd5/493%50%-0.43
21/03/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
13/04/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
12/06/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
29/06/202612th25/10%15%+0.15
11/07/20265th16/116%0%-0.16
01/09/20263rd16/116%60%+0.44
12/09/20269th28/10%11%+0.11