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7

Tortured Soul

6yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 8 · OR 69

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 1f 104y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Kickstarted 2026 with 11f Southwell win in January. Plenty of good efforts on all-weather subsequently but well held back on turf on his last 2 outings. Return to this surface needs to spark a revival.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark26/01/2026 · OR 72 par26/015OR 725 @ Lingfield 21/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m5f Std 134 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Kempton 04/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m2f219y Sta 135 · beat its mark04/03/2026 · OR 70 par4/035OR 705 @ Kempton 18/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 69 · 1m2f219y Sta 135 · beat its mark18/03/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 69 · 1m4f Std 132 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 69 par25/035OR 695 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 70 · 1m3f23y Std 130 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m2f219y Sta 132 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 72 par4/055OR 725 @ Haydock 04/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 72 · 1m3f140y Hvy 139 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Leicester 21/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 71 · 1m53y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 71 par21/094OR 71projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Leicester49th8th+1
2026-09-04Haydock512th12th0
2026-05-04Kempton54th4th0
2026-04-11Southwell52nd2nd0
2026-03-25Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-03-18Kempton52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0118/034/0521/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/01/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
21/02/20266th10/147%55%+0.07
04/03/20265th18/15%64%+0.58
18/03/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
25/03/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
11/04/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
04/05/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
04/09/202612th80/10%0%0.00
21/09/20269th100/10%33%+0.33