Alkaios
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap · 1m 4f 51y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 7.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-05-21 | Haydock | 3 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-30 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/07/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |