4

Electrical

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 9 · OR 62

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Surprise winner on debut at Newbury (6f) last summer but hasn't kicked on since, finishing down the field in handicaps between 7f and 1½m this season. Looks a tricky ride too, so readily opposed on all-weather bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength80%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0741 @ Doncaster 12/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f6y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newbury 24/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 81 · 1m1y Sft 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 81 par24/104OR 814 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m37y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 79 · 7f16y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 79 par6/064OR 794 @ Epsom Downs 01/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 76 · 1m4f6y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 7f GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 72 par1/084OR 725 @ Newmarket 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 67 · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 67 par15/085OR 67projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Newmarket56th5th+1
2026-08-01Newmarket45th3rd+2
2026-07-01Epsom Downs47th5th+2
2026-06-06Chepstow46th4th+2
2026-04-25Haydock47th5th+2
2025-10-24Newbury44th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0725/041/0815/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20251st25/10%100%+1.00
12/09/20258th50/10%0%0.00
24/10/20254th11/142%67%+0.25
25/04/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
06/06/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
01/07/20267th66/10%33%+0.33
01/08/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
15/08/20266th28/10%0%0.00