Eze Sur Mer
3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 1 · OR 59
Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap · 1m 4f 51y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ffos Las | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Newbury | 3 | 12th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-03-09 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 17/04/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/09/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |