5

Charlie's Cannon

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 4 · OR 82

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 7f 36y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Overcame greenness to make a winning debut in good style in novice at Kempton (7f) in July for Ralph Beckett but never looked like justifying support when ninth of 13 in a similar race there (1m) 61 days ago. Has since changed yards again (left Simon Dow).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 1302/0744 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 1375/084projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Kempton49th9th0
2026-07-02Kempton41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/075/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -85.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
05/08/20269th17/255%33%-0.22