Reciprocated
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 9 · OR 80
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 7f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 2 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Goodwood | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Ayr | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 25/07/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |