9

Tattie Bogle
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8 · OR 77
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap · 7f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Beverley | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Beverley | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 2-11 · tight 39/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |