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3

Eightthreeone

3yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 2 · OR 64

Yarmouth · White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap · 6f 3y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved when getting off the mark on handicap debut at Southwell (6f) on reappearance in April and placed on next 3 starts but hasn't scaled same heights more recently, albeit taking a small step back in right direction when third of 12 at Salisbury (6f, soft) 24 days ago. Cheekpieces go on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 66 · 6f16y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 66 par7/045OR 665 @ Yarmouth 21/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 68 · 6f3y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 68 · 6f12y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 68 par4/055OR 684 @ Goodwood 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f21y GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 69 par27/065OR 695 @ Newbury 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 68 · 6f GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Chepstow 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 67 · 6f16y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 67 par6/085OR 675 @ Goodwood 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 67 · 6f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 65 · 6f Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 65 par11/095OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Salisbury53rd2nd+1
2026-08-28Goodwood54th3rd+1
2026-08-06Chepstow54th3rd+1
2026-07-23Newbury55th4th+1
2026-06-27Windsor56th5th+1
2026-05-23Goodwood42nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0423/056/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/04/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
21/04/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
04/05/20263rd4/179%83%+0.04
23/05/20262nd15/261%88%+0.27
27/06/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
23/07/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
06/08/20264th11/486%0%-0.86
28/08/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
11/09/20263rd18/15%82%+0.77