Koffee And Kale
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 7 · OR 61
Yarmouth · White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap · 6f 3y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 22/09/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 45% | -0.44 |