5

Chaise Longue

2yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 59

Yarmouth · Origin Amenity Solutions Nursery · 7f 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked a staying type across 3 qualifying runs and much improved as she went down by just a neck in 1m nursery here 3 weeks ago, staying on well. Drop back in trip is a worry but she clearly has races in her.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0744 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/0844 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f36y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0846 @ Yarmouth 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 57 · 1m3y Gd 127 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 57 par17/096OR 57projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Yarmouth62nd2nd0
2026-08-18Wolverhampton47th5th+2
2026-08-08Lingfield45th3rd+2
2026-07-09Epsom Downs48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/078/0818/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +34.5% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20268th18/15%0%-0.05
08/08/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
18/08/20267th50/10%45%+0.45
17/09/20262nd25/10%89%+0.89