6

Marralyn

2yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 1 · OR 57

Yarmouth · Origin Amenity Solutions Nursery · 7f 3y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Easy to back and poor runs in 5f Lingfield novice/6f Windsor nursery the last twice. Bred to stay well so 7f should suit but hard to get too excited about.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f21y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS21/0444 @ Chepstow 21/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f16y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS21/0544 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0644 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 4f217y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0746 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 59 · 6f12y Goo 129 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 59 par7/096OR 59projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor67th7th0
2026-07-25Lingfield47th5th+2
2026-06-13Bath43rd1st+2
2026-05-21Chepstow48th6th+2
2026-04-21Wolverhampton45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0421/0513/0625/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +16.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/04/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
21/05/20268th22/10%36%+0.36
13/06/20263rd25/10%50%+0.50
25/07/20267th40/10%0%0.00
07/09/20267th40/10%54%+0.54