Nightspell
2yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 51
Yarmouth · Origin Amenity Solutions Nursery · 7f 3y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -25.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/09/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |