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4

Evening Call

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 2

Yarmouth · Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 3y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

92%

Place Prob

73%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

375,000 gns daughter of Wootton Bassett from the family of Irish 2000 Guineas winner Saffron Walden. Hasn't beaten another rival in 2 runs, although shaped with some promise on debut at Newmarket (1m, 3 ran) and possibly didn't handle the heavy going at Goodwood last time. Blinkers go on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR - · 1m GF 12814/0842 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f197y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/082projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Goodwood28th6th+2
2026-08-14Newmarket43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -14.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20263rd11/271%0%-0.71
29/08/20268th11/486%0%-0.86