6
Moontune
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 4
Yarmouth · Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 3y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kempton | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Nottingham | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -25.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |