7

Tilsworth Emma

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7

Yarmouth · Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 3y

#5

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

300/1 and always behind on debut at Kempton (7f) last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f Sta 1289/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength8%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20266th300/10%17%+0.17