9
Accademia
3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 6 · OR 78
Yarmouth · Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Newbury | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Doncaster | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |