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6

Beach Point

5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 8 · OR 76

Yarmouth · Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

87%

Place Prob

61%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Recorded back-to-back wins at Sandown (1¼m) last summer and opened account for this campaign when landing 7-runner handicap over a shorter trip at Goodwood in August. Collared only late after failing to really handle the track at Epsom (1¼m, good) 25 days ago and makes plenty of appeal again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Nottingham 29/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 76 · 1m2f50y Sft 132 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 76 par29/104OR 764 @ Yarmouth 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 74 · 1m2f23y Gd 129 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 74 · 1m2f23y GF 129 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 74 par30/044OR 745 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m2f Gd 134 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 74 · 1m2f56y Gd 129 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 74 par12/064OR 744 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m2f56y Goo 130 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Sandown 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m1f209y Goo 148 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 72 par6/084OR 725 @ Goodwood 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 70 · 1m1f11y GF 156 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 74 · 1m2f17y Goo 134 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 74 par10/095OR 74projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs52nd3rd−1
2026-08-28Goodwood51st2nd−1
2026-08-06Sandown44th4th0
2026-07-10York44th4th0
2026-06-12York48th8th0
2026-05-15Newmarket54th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1015/056/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20255th11/271%0%-0.71
11/04/20264th14/126%75%+0.49
30/04/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26
15/05/20264th9/488%57%-0.31
12/06/20268th11/271%59%-0.12
10/07/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
06/08/20264th7/163%50%-0.13
28/08/20261st85/4089%100%+0.11
10/09/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09