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7

Mythical Guest

6yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 7 · OR 76

Yarmouth · Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

On a long losing run but was placed 6 times in 2025 and was a close third off this mark on the July Course this summer. Solid efforts when filling the same position on his last 2 starts, most recently in a 10-runner event at Newmarket (9f, good to firm) 10 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength70%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 86 par14/042OR 864 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m3y Sft 134 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 84 · 1m Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 84 par19/063OR 844 @ Ascot 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 1m GF 136 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m GF 136 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 80 par18/074OR 803 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 78 · 1m GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 78 par2 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 78 · 1m Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 78 par4/092OR 784 @ Yarmouth 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m2f23y Goo 133 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 78 par3 @ Newmarket 25/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 78 · 1m1f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 78 par25/093OR 78projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Newmarket33rd2nd+1
2026-09-15Yarmouth43rd3rd0
2026-09-04Ascot212th10th+2
2026-08-14Newmarket33rd2nd+1
2026-07-18Newmarket44th4th0
2026-07-10Ascot43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0410/074/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/202610th8/158%0%-0.58
10/06/20269th10/147%20%-0.27
19/06/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
10/07/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06
18/07/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
14/08/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
04/09/202612th40/10%8%+0.08
15/09/20263rd8/158%67%+0.09
25/09/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41