5

Vincenzo Peruggia

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 5 · OR 82

Yarmouth · Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ready winner of Beverley novice last summer. Very good second at Musselburgh on reappearance/handicap debut but hasn't kicked on, never a threat tried visored at Hamilton 2 weeks ago. Sports cheekpieces up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f96y Goo 1335/0751 @ Goodwood 29/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Musselburgh 04/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 1m2y GS 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 91 par4/043OR 913 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 92 · 1m GF 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 92 par2 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 25th of 30 · OR 91 · 1m GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 91 par18/062OR 913 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 89 · 1m Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Newmarket 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 87 par8/083OR 874 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 85 · 1m1y Std 135 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 85 par4 @ Hamilton 20/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m68y Hvy 135 · beat its mark20/09/2026 · OR 84 par20/094OR 84projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Hamilton46th6th0
2026-09-10Lingfield44th4th0
2026-08-08Newmarket34th3rd+1
2026-07-30Goodwood316th15th+1
2026-06-18Royal Ascot225th23th+2
2026-05-01Newmarket37th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/071/058/0820/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 57/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength44%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
29/07/202510th40/10%0%0.00
04/04/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
01/05/20267th9/153%25%-0.28
18/06/202625th100/10%17%+0.17
30/07/202616th40/10%17%+0.17
08/08/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
10/09/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
20/09/20266th18/15%50%+0.45