
Vincenzo Peruggia
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 5 · OR 82
Yarmouth · Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Hamilton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Newmarket | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 25th | 23th | +2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 29/07/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 18/06/2026 | 25th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/07/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 20/09/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |