Warrior Mode
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 10 · OR 85
Yarmouth · Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 23y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Kempton | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Haydock | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-06-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/04/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 17/10/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 05/11/2025 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 23% | -0.43 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 46% | -0.38 |