4
Colonnade
3yo Colt · 9-10 · Draw 4 · OR 79
Yarmouth · Moulton Racing Club Handicap · 1m 3y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 62/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -13.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |