5
Media Legend
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 5 · OR 76
Yarmouth · Moulton Racing Club Handicap · 1m 3y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 44/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 24/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |