12
Trinculo
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 67
Yarmouth · Moulton Racing Club Handicap · 1m 3y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Ayr | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/5 | 83% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 17/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |