7
Venetian Sky
3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 75
Yarmouth · Moulton Racing Club Handicap · 1m 3y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Leicester | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Yarmouth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 30% | -0.46 |