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10

You Sexy Thing

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2 · OR 71

Yarmouth · Moulton Racing Club Handicap · 1m 3y

#11

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at Sandown last August but hasn't won since. Ran well when fourth of 8 in a handicap over 7f at Ascot last month and did enough to suggest he remains in good nick having been set plenty to do at Ayr since. First-time cheekpieces go on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 13/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 13313/0643 @ Haydock 19/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f212y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newmarket 09/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 7f GF 122 · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 72 par9/084OR 724 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 71 · 7f Sft 127 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 71 par3 @ Doncaster 11/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 75 · 7f6y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 75 par11/093OR 752 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 25th of 26 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 75 par5 @ Newbury 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m GS 134 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 74 par11/065OR 744 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 7f Goo 123 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Ayr 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 72 · 1m Sft 133 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 72 par17/095OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Ayr54th5th−1
2026-09-04Ascot44th4th0
2026-06-11Newbury56th7th−1
2025-10-04Newmarket225th23th+2
2025-09-11Doncaster33rd2nd+1
2025-08-30Sandown41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0630/0811/0617/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 45/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20255th16/116%20%+0.04
19/07/20255th10/147%33%-0.14
09/08/20256th12/137%17%-0.20
30/08/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
11/09/20253rd25/10%75%+0.75
04/10/202525th40/10%4%+0.04
11/06/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
04/09/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
17/09/20264th10/382%75%-0.07