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15:10 · Nottingham

weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap

5f 8yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 6011/1
Hurt You Never silks

A Nicholls & Bob Joy

Hurt You Never

7yo Mare · 9-9

Dandy Man - Kyllarney (Kyllachy)

Jack Nicholls60%5/19Adrian Nicholls80%
398559
4.0Class ↓4
1st Blinkers +3

Scored 4 times in small-field races over 5f last year (including over C&D) but has struggled for consistency since. Handicapper drops her another chunk and hopes are pinned on first-time blinkers sparking a revival.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0518/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%8/05Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%9/07Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 11%20/07
Projected finish1st of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 5918/1
Invincible Crown silks

Grange Park Racing Viii & Mrs R Carr

Invincible Crown

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Inns Of Court - Nurse Dee (Kodiac)

T Eaves60%0/1Mrs R Carr
474214
7.0

Has worked his way back to form this season, getting up to lead final strides in 10-runner event at Musselburgh in June. Wasn't disgraced in a stronger race when fourth of 9 at Catterick (5f, good to firm) last month and has every chance back in 0-60 company.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/055/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%21/05Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%16/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 63%15/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
2
OR 5728/1
Star Marian silks

Mr Mike Owen

Star Marian

3yo Filly · 9-3

A'ali - Under The Covers (Stimulation)

Rossa Ryan80%1/2D Loughnane80%
551580
3.0Class ↓4
1st Blinkers +3

Showed much improved form after 8 months off when making all in a Wolverhampton maiden in March. Beaten only one rival in 3 subsequent outings but there are reasons to be optimistic, dropped in grade, first-time blinkers applied and Rossa Ryan back on board. Worth chancing.

Class Advantage

22/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/0712/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par31/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/03 · mark par21/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%22/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%31/03Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%18/05Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%5/06
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
4
OR 6016/1
Little Jaybee silks

Mrs A L Lofts & Mrs Nicky Scott Knight

Little Jaybee

3yo Filly · 9-6

Due Diligence - Jungle Boogaloo (Bungle Inthejungle)

K Shoemark60%0/1P D Evans90%
998969
3.0Class ↓5
1st Visor +2

Wolverhampton maiden winner last summer but most underwhelming in 5 handicap starts. Has since switched yards since last seen 7 weeks ago and a first-time visor is applied.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/086/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par31/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par28/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par15/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 20%15/08Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%31/03Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%18/05Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 11%15/06
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
OR 4722/1
Up The Monk silks

Up The Racing Team 4

Up The Monk

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Mayson - Angel Song (Dansili)

Mason Paetel60%1/3−5lbM Appleby80%
164870
2.0
1st Blinkers +3

Responded well to first-time visor when scoring in classified company at Chelmsford in January but more bad runs than good ones since, shaping as if needing the run after 3 months off at Thirsk on latest. First-time blinkers are the headgear of choice and this is his first go at 5f.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/01 · mark par29/015/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par24/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par11/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%29/01Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%24/02Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%21/03Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 47%1/07
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 5611/1
Sergeant Mayer silks

The Olliers

Sergeant Mayer

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Soldier's Call - Suedehead (Cape Cross)

Faye McManoman2/18N Tinkler
480696
3.0

Has won at this course but is yet to fire this season, faring little better minus his usual cheekpieces after 8 weeks off when sixth of 11 at Ripon (6f, good) recently. Has plenty to prove at present.

Class Advantage

13/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par13/1021/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par7/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par21/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 8y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%13/10Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 46%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%7/04Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%18/05Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%18/07
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend