13:54 · Ripon

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 693/1
Queen Sana silks

Mr Abdulla Mohd Jaber

3yo Filly · 9-2

Ardad - Recife (Giant's Causeway)

D Tudhope60%0/2Ollie Sangster
022262
6.0Going 9.0

Runner-up for the sixth time in 11 career starts when beaten by a subsequent winner in Ffos Las (5f) maiden latest. Sets a clear standard and should have enough in hand to overcome a less-than-ideal draw.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par7/044/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par12/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par14/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 9%7/04Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%12/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 29%29/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%14/07
Projected finish1st of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Market Fav3
11/4
Royale Union silks

Tony Bloom & Ian McAleavy

3yo Filly · 9-2

Starman - Royal Majestic (Tobougg)

C Lee70%K R Burke60%
73
4.0

Showed something like her debut form when 4 lengths third behind a couple of southern raiders at Ripon (7f) 5 days ago. Yard's juveniles continue in fine form, but she'll need to improve for the switch to sprinting.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0729/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 45%5/07Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%29/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
6/1
Secret Harvest silks

sportsdays co uk

3yo Filly · 9-2

Tasleet - Keep The Secret (Sakhee's Secret)

Cieren Fallon70%C Allen
26
4.0Going 8.0

Cheap purchase who nearly pulled off a big shock (50/1) when collared late in the day on debut at Leicester (6f). Failed to confirm that form at Bath subsequently and is probably playing for the places on return from 7 weeks off.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/0513/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 89%25/05Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%13/06
Projected finish3rd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 3980/1
Rohini silks

Manor Farm Stud (Rutland)

3yo Filly · 9-2

Oasis Dream - Ishvara (Dutch Art)

Taryn Langley60%0/1−5lbJoey Ramsden70%
78787
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Has no form in 5 starts to date. Cheekpieces unlikely to make a difference.

Class Advantage

31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/0725/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%31/07Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%25/08Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 14%6/09Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%8/06Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%7/07
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
6
OR 42200/1
Aurora's Doublesix silks

Mr Brian Rothwell

4yo Filly · 9-6

Dandy Man - Late Rosebud (Jeremy)

Shay Farmer60%−5lbB Rothwell
400699
2.0
Hood

Long-standing maiden who makes little appeal.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/0411/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 57%25/04Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%26/05Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 27%5/06Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%15/06
Projected finish5th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
28/1
All Good silks

Miss Julie Camacho

3yo Filly · 9-2

Tasleet - Mythical Spirit (Dragon Pulse)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%−5lbMiss J A Camacho
87
2.0Going 8.0

No impact in a couple of all-weather maidens last autumn. Likely to need this comeback run before handicaps.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/0914/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 36%19/09Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 14%14/10
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend