18:00 · Roscommon

J.F. Hanley Groundscare Beginners Chase

2m 142yGoing TBC4YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 1249/2
Hashtag Pretender silks

Barry Connell

9yo Gelding · 11-12

Great Pretender - Adriana Rochelaise (Al Namix)

Sean Flanagan60%0/3B Connell60%
21323F
7.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Useful hurdler who made the frame in his first 2 starts in this sphere before coming down early on at Punchestown in June. Holds leading claims.

Class Advantage

6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par6/0824/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par4/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par16/11 · C12 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par23/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 91%6/08Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%4/10Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%23/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%21/09
Projected finish1st of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
4
OR 10415/2
Piccolo Player silks

Fairymount Partnership

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Vadamos - Mexican Sky (Yeats)

Daniel King60%0/2J P Ryan
642563
4.0Going 8.0

Fair form over hurdles, winning on his second start last season before placing twice in handicaps. Offered more than on chase debut when third of 7 in novice at Killarney last month but more needed to take a hand here.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par7/0316/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par24/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par26/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par8/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%7/03Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%24/04Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 62%8/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%17/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
7
8/1
Swing Time silks

Sean O'Brien

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Pour Moi - Europa (Arcano)

Conor Stone-Walsh60%V T O'Brien
97858P
2.0

Poor maiden hurdler who was pulled up in handicap at Fairyhouse when last seen 9 months ago. Best watched on chase debut.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/0823/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par8/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par29/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par4/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par25/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par25/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 142y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 17%7/08Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 65%8/09Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 69%4/10Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 53%25/10
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Value2
20/1
Killeemore Lad silks

Lumper Lane Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Doyen - Firey Witness (Witness Box)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%A Slattery60%
54822F
6.0Going 8.0

Winner on Flat/over hurdles who was returning from 2 years off when falling at the last in novice chase at Wexford (2m, good to firm) on debut over fences 13 days ago, looking sure to be placed. Not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/0423/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par2/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par12/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 22%4/04Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 96%2/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 36%7/07
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav3
10/3
Impero silks

Angie O'Sullivan

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Zoffany - On A Pedestal (Montjeu)

Jack Kennedy60%C Collins70%
132355
3.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Useful hurdler who showed aptitude for chasing when fifth at Kilbeggan in June. Not in same form at Wexford since but can't be ruled out here.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/062/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par9/05 · C14 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par24/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par15/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 142y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 33%17/06Pos 17 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 17 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 6%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 89%9/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 64%15/06Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%30/06
Projected finish5th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
80/1
Silent Selector silks

Double O Racing

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Order Of St George - Coolsilver (Good Thyne)

Keith DonoghueGerard O'Leary60%
P15685
3.0

Dual winner over hurdles who showed aptitude for chasing when fifth of 11 in novice over longer trip at Wexford on debut over fences 32 days ago. May improve on that.

Class Advantage

1/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par1/0414/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par9/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par2/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par10/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par3/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 142y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%1/04Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%9/10Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%10/05Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 60%3/07
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
8/1
Orkneys Jack silks

A W Young

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Youmzain - Orcadian Dawn (Alflora)

Mr J P Sampson0/1−7lbL Young
825135
3.0

No impact in a trio of hurdle starts last year but won a point in May and showed much more than previously under Rules when third of 12 in novice chase at Kilbeggan (2½m) in June. Below that level at same course since nut respected nonetheless.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/041/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/0615/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/0610/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 142y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 50%3/04Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 40%1/06Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 82%15/06Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%10/07
Projected finish7th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend